Why the US Lacks Leverage Over China on Trade
As the US-China trade truce inches closer to its expiration, a renewed urgency envelops Washington. The looming deadline has amplified discussions about the frazzled economic relationship, with calls for a new agreement growing louder. The failure of the former "phase one" commitments, which proved largely unenforced, casts a long shadow over future negotiations.
At the heart of the matter lies a stark power imbalance, with Beijing now commanding considerable leverage in key areas vital to both economies. Rare earth exports, crucial for a plethora of high-tech applications, give China an unmistakable upper hand. Furthermore, China’s significant role in global supply chains and its technological advancements amplify its bargaining power, making it increasingly difficult for the US to navigate the complexities of trade negotiations.
Economist George Magnus from Oxford University’s China Center sheds light on the intricacies of this economic tug-of-war. He articulates that while President Trump is advocating for a swift resolution, including potential adjustments to chip export controls, China remains firmly positioned within essential supply chains. This dynamic leaves the US grappling with the challenge of re-establishing leverage.
With the stakes escalating, the question remains: How can the US recalibrate its strategy to effectively engage with an assertive China? As this trade saga unfolds, the implications for both nations—and the global economy at large—promise to be profound.
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Video “Why the US lacks leverage over China on trade | DW News” was uploaded on 08/09/2025 to Youtube Channel DW News
Europe is chicken and raises its white flag without putting up a fight when comes to kneeling trump’s demand!
@13:15 Yes, the US of A has rules for bankruptcy but they don't apply to certain "too big to fail" corporations: I remember Chrysler back then, the airlines, then the banks… who's next? crypto?
Americans love to talk about free markets, except there is no free market in the USA; if you're "too big to fail" you have become a force outside the market, supported by taxpayers. same as does China so quit talking about rules that don't apply to all.
USA started trade war with China, and lost it. And it’s so called friends and allies paying the price 😂
Anglo-Saxons are having a hard time…
The thumbnail of this DW video pastes the question: Can China win the trade war?
The perfect answer thereto is "NO!"
Why is it the case? Because Donald Trump can always ask its 51st state Canada to kidnap the CFO, CEO, the daughter of the founder of Chinese companies it cannot compete with as he did in 2018 when he asked Canada to kidnap Ms. Meng Wanzhou, the CFO of and the daughter of the founder of Huawei Telecom of China.
its simple. to any average citizens, would you rather governed by US and EU mentality or Chinese tyranny? its the baseline of your choices and comments.
This expert is neutral and have a graet sense of wisdom😇
Sounds a lot like dogs barking.
China offers the world cheaper alternatives, so even if companies move to the US, their products will be uncompetitive compared to China due to high cost of labor, energy, and labor.
@dwnews this is how you do it. I have seen to many interviews where the person was never given time to talk (also being repeatedly cut off and asked to hurry along), even though you asked the person to come and talk with you.
China's trade with the US accounts for only 2.6 percent of its GDP.
China imports aircraft, chips, and machinery from the US. These products overlap significantly with the technologies China is developing. This is Trump's gift to China. I can now imagine China replacing regional jetliners, chips for American cars (including Tesla), and design software with domestically produced products. These products could significantly boost China's GDP. Meanwhile, the US cannot do without Chinese consumer goods.
China is totally not concerned over the tariff blackmail! Chinese GDP is growing at 5.8% and the economy is surging!
Hahaha hahaha hahaha hahaha hahaha hahaha hahaha hahaha hahaha hahaha
DW News: Could China win the trade war?
Answer: No, but can you guess why? Bcoz it is a lose-lose scenario.
Beware of cheap Chinese imports flooding your markets!
They hybrid world 🌎 is raining.
There are no applications for everyone.
America are sleeping for many decades and starting to wake up. I think it's too late, maybe have a little tight corner to turn.
US is NO 2 superpower nowadays
Uplifting vadic cultures is the only way for Asia.
It unites asia naturally.
Uk just mixture the whole world to this state.
China will completely dominate The US. China's leader (Xi Jinping) is smart, ruthless, and a strategic thinker. Don't get me wrong- he is NOT a nice man, but geez- there is no way I'd cross him or get in the way of what he wants. America has Donny Diapers and the only thing he can keep in his mind is when his next fluffer will show-up.
Why should China turn from a producing country earning revenue to one of consumption and debt? If the US and the west want to self destruct, than so be it
People often emphasize Trump's soft leadership, but the reality is that China has been steadily increasing its investment in manufacturing power. They've been assuming the role of a safe and stable trading partner. Additionally, the efficiency in making and pushing out products is unmatched. For more high-tech and automotive products, China's quality is becoming increasingly competitive with that of industries in Europe and the US. The US can threaten tariffs, but the fact of the matter is that China can take the blows with its economic connections, while the US gives up economic ground in the world, ground that China looks to establish new trading partners.
The ingrained knack for causing trouble among the Anglo-Saxon people of Britain has been omnipresent up until the present day.
When Trump and Xi meet in two months, the agreement reached between China and the United States will surely shock and disappoint this fool from the United Kingdom.
Both China and the US have learned from the lessons of the Cold War between the US and the Soviet Union: when the two big powers engage in a fierce struggle, the two groups of smaller powers that gather around them end up reaping substantial benefits; in the 21st century, this scenario will not occur in the competition between China and the US: the US is currently using tariffs to engage in more intense economic exploitation of its smaller allies such as the EU, the UK, Japan, and South Korea, and it is the two big powers who are reaping the benefits; all the smaller players who do not have any cards in the game will eventually end up on the chopping block, including Great Britain.
Isn't Canada the Angry Saxons too? A member of the British Commonwealth of Nations, this is not also the first round of the table?!
No, china, trump and Russia always lose. Liberals, Eu and DW always win.
Borrowed money vs hard goods.
The US overplayed their cards earlier so now they lost all the leverage
Mister George Magnus you are supposed to be a “specialist”! How come you don’t even mention the unemployment rate evolution, the number of foreign firms closing, the evolution of foreign investment in China for the past five years ( did you even have a look at this kind of data). Why don’t you even mention that people are rising all over China and are calling for Xi Jinping and even for the CCP to step down.
Rare earth and magnets are for sure a big leverage for China in its war with the USA but the leverage of the westerners leaving China is way more powerful than you think and than you say !
this guest is delusional and full of BS
Its BRICS Vs West.
China has already won. They have great leverage against USA
When your opponent challenge you to a game of who can hold your breath longer, and you just pretend to hold your breath while your opponent really hold his breath until his orange face turn red, you know who is going to win.
China has been prepared for this trade war since Trump 1.0. Not only China has diversified its export markets, China even popped the property bubble to prevent its weaknesses being held against China. China today has lethargic growth but it is still growing nicely.
China also has 22 trillions dollars in saving. China is leading in future industry like EVs, renewable energy, AI, robotics, etc. China also invested heavily on infrastructure. China is ready. More importantly, the US is not.
The US still rely on made in China goods for most of American daily life. The US also rely on Chinese rare earth for all its industry. Stopping them coming to the US shore is the same as suicide, even the orange man is not that dumb.
The Chinese knew that, so when Trump threaten to do that, the Chinese knew the orange man is just bluffing. China just called the bluff, while others like EU, Japan, South Korea and India capitulated early for nothing, even though China warned them that capitulation will not yield them any benefit. Now they are slapped around by Trump, and Modi want to go to China to seek Xi's help. Meanwhile when Trump saw empty cargo ships coming to the US shores from China, the dude felt terrified and immediately lowering the tariff unilaterally.
Donald Trump is confident about the tariffs. He is definitely going to benefit from this otherwise he wouldn't do it. After this term of his, he might come out becoming richer than Elon Musk and all those billionaires who are paying him through his crypto currencies might become richer too. His MAGAs won't mind paying for him.
US destroy international n Humanitarian laws, disrespecting UN, making ICJ, ICC, etc irrelevant so to WTO (lady asked) and IMF (he could think of~ left😂😂😂😂
The US government is striving for a global planned economy controlled by them, in which US oligarchs determine worldwide who produces, buys, and sells what and under what conditions. Historically, this kind of thing has never ended well.
Lol no
Its all because of RARE EARTH ! US's bxlls is squeezed by XI !
As a Chinese consumer, I don't find any products from western countries better value for money except to the German car. How can the trade is balanced?
Hasn't China already "won" the trade war? (Whatever that means). If it's a question of who has backed down more, who is hurting more, and which side has more leverage, there is not a lot of doubt as to whcih side is "winning."
Poor India
Wants to be a big player with half of the people on 1 dollar a day😂
WTO not fit for purpose, it's in Xi's pocket
Europe and the west are weak not China.
The guest talks about flouting of WTO rules when it comes to rebranding on a foreign land .. however, quietly disregards the fact that unilateral tariffs and coerced trade deals are, indeed, against the WTO rules.. West needs to be even more smarter..
China already won it trump alredy taco now israel and china holds power over us