Variety Awards Circuit section is the home for all awards news and related content throughout the year, featuring the following: the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars, Emmys, Grammys and Tony Awards ceremonies, curated by Variety chief awards editor Clayton Davis. The prediction pages reflect the current standings in the race and do not reflect personal preferences for any individual contender. As other formal (and informal) polls suggest, competitions are fluid and subject to change based on buzz and events. Predictions are updated every Thursday.
It Was Just an Accident
Neon
Oscars Commentary (Updated: Nov. 3, 2025): It’s starting to get noisy around these Oscar parts.
This season, Neon is mounting aggressive campaigns for five non-English-language contenders, including Norway’s “Sentimental Value,” Brazil’s “The Secret Agent” and France’s submission “It Was Just an Accident.” The indie distributor’s global push tests whether the Academy’s newfound embrace of world cinema is a permanent evolution or just a brief flirtation.
Elsewhere on the awards trail, Paul Thomas Anderson’s “One Battle After Another” stormed the Gotham Awards nominations with a record six nods, signaling that the action epic could be a major player across categories this season. The lineup also boosted acting prospects for Benicio Del Toro, Teyana Taylor and breakout Chase Infiniti, while best actress frontrunner Jessie Buckley (“Hamnet”) continues to solidify her standing after months of critical praise.
Tunisia’s “The Voice of Hind Rajab” found a home with indie distributor Willa, setting it up for an awards-qualifying run in Dec.
On the studio front, “Wicked: For Good” continues to charm with early raves as a “heartbreakingly tender conclusion” to the blockbuster saga and emerging as a top contender in…
Read full article: 2026 Oscars Predictions in Every Category
The post “2026 Oscars Predictions in Every Category” by Clayton Davis was published on 11/03/2025 by variety.com